Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000214 0.000239 0.000267 0.000298 0.000332 0.000369 0.000412
2025-06-01 0.000174 0.000208 0.000246 0.000292 0.000346 0.000409 0.000486
2025-06-08 0.000147 0.000185 0.000231 0.000289 0.000362 0.000449 0.000563
2025-06-15 0.000127 0.000168 0.000220 0.000289 0.000379 0.000492 0.000645
2025-06-22 0.000111 0.000153 0.000208 0.000286 0.000391 0.000528 0.000722
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000144 0.000204 0.000291 0.000413 0.000578 0.000820
2025-07-06 0.000090 0.000135 0.000198 0.000292 0.000430 0.000622 0.000913
2025-07-13 0.000081 0.000126 0.000190 0.000290 0.000440 0.000657 0.000995
2025-07-20 0.000076 0.000121 0.000189 0.000297 0.000465 0.000714 0.001112
2025-07-27 0.000070 0.000115 0.000185 0.000299 0.000481 0.000759 0.001215
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000109 0.000180 0.000300 0.000495 0.000802 0.001316
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000103 0.000174 0.000297 0.000503 0.000833 0.001402
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000098 0.000171 0.000299 0.000520 0.000883 0.001524
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000093 0.000165 0.000297 0.000529 0.000919 0.001623
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000088 0.000160 0.000295 0.000539 0.000959 0.001734
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000084 0.000157 0.000296 0.000554 0.001006 0.001859
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000079 0.000152 0.000294 0.000561 0.001042 0.001968
2025-09-21 0.000038 0.000077 0.000151 0.000299 0.000584 0.001106 0.002130
2025-09-28 0.000036 0.000074 0.000149 0.000301 0.000600 0.001159 0.002277
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000071 0.000145 0.000299 0.000608 0.001196 0.002397
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000070 0.000146 0.000306 0.000635 0.001273 0.002598
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000068 0.000144 0.000308 0.000652 0.001331 0.002764
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000065 0.000141 0.000309 0.000666 0.001383 0.002924